Features of the methodology of predictive research in practical religious studies
Keywords:
forecast, religious situation, forecasting of religious processes, practical religious studies, forecasting methodology, principles of forecasting, social and political forecasting
Abstract
The article emphasizes and justifies the urgency of creating a new direction in practical religious studies – forecasting of religious processes. The scientific-categorical apparatus of practical religious studies is being improved through the definition of new concepts suggested in the article. The peculiarities and specificity of predictive researches in this field are determined on the basis of comparative analysis of forecasting in other spheres of humanitarian science. The methodological arsenal of forecasting in the religious sphere is systematized and the possibilities and limitations of its application in predicting religious processes are determined
References
Akhremenko, A. S. (2006), Political analysis and forecasting: textbook, allowance [Politicheskiy analiz i prognozirovanie: ucheb. posobie], Publisher: Gardariki, Moscow, 333 p. [in Russian]
Davydov, A. A (2002), "Model of social time" [Model sotsialnogo vremeni], Sociological research, No. 4, pp. 98-101 [in Russian]
Gorbatenko, V. P (2006), Political forecasting: theory, methodology, practice: monograph [Politychne prohnozuvannia: teoriia, metodolohiia, praktyka: monohrafiia], Publisher: Genesis, Kyiv, 400 р. [in Ukrainian]
Kahn, H. and Wiener, A. J. A. (1967), The Year 2000. Framework for Speculation on the Next Thirty-Three Years, Macmillan, New York, 431 p.
Kolodny, A. M. (2013), Historiography of religion: monograph [Istoriosofiia relihii: monohrafiia], Publisher: UAR, Kyiv, 286 p. [in Ukrainian]
Krasnov, B. I. (1997), “Analysis of the political situation. Method of scenarios” [“Analiz politicheskoy situatsii. Metod stsenariev”], Socio-political journal, No. 5, pp. 91-103 [in Russian]
Lysenko, Yu. V. (2015), "Theoretical foundations of political forecasting" [“Teoretychni osnovy politychnoho prohnozuvannia”], New Paradigm. Politology, NPU from Drahomanov, No. 126, pp. 150-159. [in Ukrainian]
Pantin, V., Lapkin, V. (2006), Philosophy of historical forecasting: rhythms of history and prospects for world development in the first half of the 21st century: monograph [Filosofiya istoricheskogo prognozirovaniya: ritmyi istorii i perspektivyi mirovogo razvitiya v pervoy polovine 21-go veka: monografiya], Feniks +, Dubna, 448 p. [in Russian]
Safronova, V. M. (2007), Forecasting, designing and modeling in social work: textbook, allowance [Prognozirovanie, proektirovanie i modelirovanie v sotsialnoy rabote: uchebnoe posobie], Publishing: Center "Academy", Moscow, 240 p. [in Russian]
Stepiko, M. T, Barkov, V. Yu. (2002), "Strategic forecast as an object of scientific analysis" [Stratehichnyi prohnoz yak ob’iekt naukovoho analizu],, Strategy of development of Ukraine: theory and practice [ed. O. V. Vlasyuk], Publishing house: NISS, Kyiv, pp. 38-50. [in Ukrainian]
“The prognosis of religious life” [Prohnozy relihiinoho zhyttia] (2008), [ed. A.M.Kolodny], Ukrainian Religious Studies, Kyiv, No. 48, 341 p. [in Ukrainian]
Tуtarenko, V. (2007b), “The concept of "modern Christian" in the context of the dialogue of society and religion” [“Poniattia “suchasnyi khrystyianyn” v konteksti dialohu suspilstva i relihii”], Religious Freedom. Scientific Yearbook, Kyiv, No. 12, pp. 49-51. [in Ukrainian]
Tуtarenko, V. (2015c), “The role of religious institutions in the formation of civil society: ukrainian context” [Rol relihiinykh instytutiv u formuvanni hromadianskoho suspilstva: ukrainskyi kontekst], Institutional processes of confessional life of the world and Ukraine [Ed. A. Kolodnoy], Publisher: UAR, Kyiv, pp. 63-71. [in Ukrainian]
Tуtarenko, V. V. (2017a), From prophecy in religion to prognosis in religious studies: history, theory, perspectives: monograph [Vid prorotstv u relihii do prohnozuvannia v relihiieznavstvi: istoriia, teoriia, perspektyvy: monohrafiia], Publishing: center of Europe, Kyiv, 324 p. [in Ukrainian]
Vaschenko K. “The main forms and principles of the study of political analysis and forecast” [“Osnovni formy i pryntsypy doslidzhennia politychnoho analizu y prohnozu”], Political management, No. 1, 2007, pp. 165-172. [in Ukrainian]
Davydov, A. A (2002), "Model of social time" [Model sotsialnogo vremeni], Sociological research, No. 4, pp. 98-101 [in Russian]
Gorbatenko, V. P (2006), Political forecasting: theory, methodology, practice: monograph [Politychne prohnozuvannia: teoriia, metodolohiia, praktyka: monohrafiia], Publisher: Genesis, Kyiv, 400 р. [in Ukrainian]
Kahn, H. and Wiener, A. J. A. (1967), The Year 2000. Framework for Speculation on the Next Thirty-Three Years, Macmillan, New York, 431 p.
Kolodny, A. M. (2013), Historiography of religion: monograph [Istoriosofiia relihii: monohrafiia], Publisher: UAR, Kyiv, 286 p. [in Ukrainian]
Krasnov, B. I. (1997), “Analysis of the political situation. Method of scenarios” [“Analiz politicheskoy situatsii. Metod stsenariev”], Socio-political journal, No. 5, pp. 91-103 [in Russian]
Lysenko, Yu. V. (2015), "Theoretical foundations of political forecasting" [“Teoretychni osnovy politychnoho prohnozuvannia”], New Paradigm. Politology, NPU from Drahomanov, No. 126, pp. 150-159. [in Ukrainian]
Pantin, V., Lapkin, V. (2006), Philosophy of historical forecasting: rhythms of history and prospects for world development in the first half of the 21st century: monograph [Filosofiya istoricheskogo prognozirovaniya: ritmyi istorii i perspektivyi mirovogo razvitiya v pervoy polovine 21-go veka: monografiya], Feniks +, Dubna, 448 p. [in Russian]
Safronova, V. M. (2007), Forecasting, designing and modeling in social work: textbook, allowance [Prognozirovanie, proektirovanie i modelirovanie v sotsialnoy rabote: uchebnoe posobie], Publishing: Center "Academy", Moscow, 240 p. [in Russian]
Stepiko, M. T, Barkov, V. Yu. (2002), "Strategic forecast as an object of scientific analysis" [Stratehichnyi prohnoz yak ob’iekt naukovoho analizu],, Strategy of development of Ukraine: theory and practice [ed. O. V. Vlasyuk], Publishing house: NISS, Kyiv, pp. 38-50. [in Ukrainian]
“The prognosis of religious life” [Prohnozy relihiinoho zhyttia] (2008), [ed. A.M.Kolodny], Ukrainian Religious Studies, Kyiv, No. 48, 341 p. [in Ukrainian]
Tуtarenko, V. (2007b), “The concept of "modern Christian" in the context of the dialogue of society and religion” [“Poniattia “suchasnyi khrystyianyn” v konteksti dialohu suspilstva i relihii”], Religious Freedom. Scientific Yearbook, Kyiv, No. 12, pp. 49-51. [in Ukrainian]
Tуtarenko, V. (2015c), “The role of religious institutions in the formation of civil society: ukrainian context” [Rol relihiinykh instytutiv u formuvanni hromadianskoho suspilstva: ukrainskyi kontekst], Institutional processes of confessional life of the world and Ukraine [Ed. A. Kolodnoy], Publisher: UAR, Kyiv, pp. 63-71. [in Ukrainian]
Tуtarenko, V. V. (2017a), From prophecy in religion to prognosis in religious studies: history, theory, perspectives: monograph [Vid prorotstv u relihii do prohnozuvannia v relihiieznavstvi: istoriia, teoriia, perspektyvy: monohrafiia], Publishing: center of Europe, Kyiv, 324 p. [in Ukrainian]
Vaschenko K. “The main forms and principles of the study of political analysis and forecast” [“Osnovni formy i pryntsypy doslidzhennia politychnoho analizu y prohnozu”], Political management, No. 1, 2007, pp. 165-172. [in Ukrainian]
Published
2018-06-26
How to Cite
TуtarenkoV. (2018). Features of the methodology of predictive research in practical religious studies. IDEAS. PHILOSOPHICAL JOURNAL. SPECIAL SCIENTIFIC ISSUES, (2(12), 50-58. https://doi.org/10.34017/1313-9703-2018-2(12)-50-58
Section
Philosophy of Religion. Religion studies
